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Thursday, April 16, 2020

Deploying more conversational chatbots

The comedian Bill Burr has said he refuses to call into automated customer service lines for fear that, years later on his death bed, all he’ll be able to think about are the moments he wasted dealing with chatbots.

Indeed, the frustrating experience of trying to complete even the most straightforward task through an automated customer service line is enough to make anyone question the purpose of life.

Now the startup Posh is trying to make conversations with chatbots more natural and less maddening. It’s accomplishing this with an artificial intelligence-powered system that uses “conversational memory” to help users complete tasks.

“We noticed bots in general would take what the user said at face value, without connecting the dots of what was said before in the conversation,” says Posh co-founder and CEO Karan Kashyap ’17, SM ’17. “If you think about your conversations with humans, especially in places like banks with tellers or in customer service, what you said in the past is very important, so we focused on making bots more humanlike by giving them the ability to remember historical information in a conversation.”

Posh’s chatbots are currently used by over a dozen credit unions across voice- and text-based channels. The well-defined customer base has allowed the company to train its system on only the most relevant data, improving performance.

The founders plan to gradually partner with companies in other sectors to gather industry-specific data and expand the use of their system without compromising performance. Down the line, Kashyap and Posh co-founder and CTO Matt McEachern ’17, SM ’18 plan to provide their chatbots as a platform for developers to build on.

The expansion plans should attract businesses in a variety of sectors: Kashyap says some credit unions have successfully resolved more than 90 percent of customer calls with Posh’s platform. The company’s expansion may also help alleviate the mind-numbing experience of calling into traditional customer service lines.

“When we deploy our telephone product, there’s no notion of ‘Press one or press two,’” Kashyap explains. “There’s no dial tone menu. We just say, ‘Welcome to whatever credit union, how can I help you today?’ In a few words, you let us know. We prompt users to describe their problems via natural speech instead of waiting for menu options to be read out.”

Bootstrapping better bots

Kashyap and McEachern became friends while pursuing their degrees in MIT’s Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. They also worked together in the same research lab at the Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL).

But their relationship quickly grew outside of MIT. In 2016, the students began software consulting, in part designing chatbots for companies to handle customer inquiries around medical devices, flight booking, personal fitness, and more. Kashyap says they used their time consulting to learn about and take business risks.

“That was a great learning experience, because we got real-world experience in designing these bots using the tools that were available,” Kashyap says. “We saw the market need for a bot platform and for better bot experiences.”

From the start, the founders executed a lean business strategy that made it clear the engineering undergrads were thinking long term. Upon graduation, the founders used their savings from consulting to fund Posh’s early operations, giving themselves salaries and even hiring some contacts from MIT.

It also helped that they were accepted into the delta v accelerator, run by the Martin Trust Center for MIT Entrepreneurship, which gave them a summer of guidance and free rent. Following delta v, Posh was accepted into the DCU Fintech Innovation Center, connecting it with one of the largest credit unions in the country and netting the company another 12 months of free rent.
 

With DCU serving as a pilot customer, the founders got a “crash course” in the credit union industry, Kashyap says. From there they began a calculated expansion to ensure they didn’t grow faster than Posh’s revenue allowed, freeing them from having to raise venture capital.

The disciplined growth strategy at times forced Posh to get creative. Last year, as the founders were looking to build out new features and grow their team, they secured about $1.5 million in prepayments from eight credit unions in exchange for discounts on their service along with a peer-driven profit-sharing incentive. In total, the company has raised $2.5 million using that strategy.

Now on more secure financial footing, the founders are poised to accelerate Posh’s growth.

Pushing the boundaries

Even referring to today’s automated messaging platforms as chatbots seems generous. Most of the ones on the market today are only designed to understand what a user is asking for, something known as intent recognition.

The result is that many of the virtual agents in our lives, from the robotic telecom operator to Amazon’s Alexa to the remote control, take directions but struggle to hold a conversation. Posh’s chatbots go beyond intent recognition, using what Kashyap calls context understanding to figure out what users are saying based on the history of the conversation. The founders have a patent pending for the approach.

“[Context understanding] allows us to more intelligently understand user inputs and handle things like changes in topics without having the bots break,” Kashyap says. “One of our biggest pet peeves was, in order to have a successful interaction with a bot, you as a user have to be very unnatural sometimes to convey what you want to convey or the bot won’t understand you.”

Kashyap says context understanding is a lot easier to accomplish when designing bots for specific industries. That’s why Posh’s founders decided to start by focusing on credit unions.

“The platforms on the market today are almost spreading themselves too thin to make a deep impact in a particular vertical,” Kashyap says. “If you have banks and telecos and health care companies all using the same [chatbot] service, it’s as if they’re all sharing the same customer service rep. It’s difficult to have one person trained across all of these domains meaningfully.”

To onboard a new credit union, Posh uses the customer’s conversational data to train its deep learning model.

“The bots continue to train even after they go live and have actual conversations,” Kashyap says. “We’re always improving it; I don’t think we’ll ever deploy a bot and say it’s done.”

Customers can use Posh’s bots for online chats, voice calls, SMS messaging, and through third party channels like Slack, WhatsApp, and Amazon Echo. Posh also offers an analytics platform to help customers analyze what users are calling about.

For now, Kashyap says he’s focused on quadrupling the number of credit unions using Posh over the next year. Then again, the founders’ have never let short term business goals cloud their larger vision for the company.

“Our perspective has always been that [the robot assistant] Jarvis from ‘Iron Man’ and the AI from the movie ‘Her’ are going to be reality sometime soon,” Kashyap says. “Someone has to pioneer the ability for bots to have contextual awareness and memory persistence. I think there’s a lot more that needs to go into bots overall, but we felt by pushing the boundaries a little bit, we’d succeed where other bots would fail, and ultimately people would like to use our bots more than others.”



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Helping K-12 students overcome school closures

School closures brought on by the Covid-19 outbreak have affected students across the globe. But while some districts have moved quickly to train teachers and buy software to facilitate online learning, others lack the resources to make a smooth transition to the virtual world.

Different home environments also exacerbate inequalities, as some households lack computers for each member of the family, rely on children to care for their younger siblings, or have parents deemed essential workers.

Those were the problems on the minds of a group of students from MIT and Harvard University when they started CovEducation, a mentoring platform that connects volunteer college students with children from low-income communities for academic support.

The organization, also known as CovEd, has scaled rapidly since its inception in mid-March, with more than 1,300 mentors and 850 K-12 students currently signed up.

The early tutoring sessions have also included help with career planning, the college admissions process, and any other academic issues the student may be struggling with. The sessions are meant to be as natural and responsive as CovEd’s fluid internal operations.

“One thing we’re trying to preserve [as we scale], which is the essence of our organization, is that this is a very tailored program for the students,” MIT undergraduate Daniela Velez says. “We match them in an organic way, trying to form very natural connections by finding mentors that are perfectly suited for them, and who can serve not only as a tutor, but also as a role model.”

CovEd catches on

CovEducation began as an idea in a small group chat among friends, including Evelyn Wong, a student at Harvard who is also an undergraduate research fellow at MIT. Harvard and MIT had just announced they would be moving to online instruction, and it was becoming clear that school districts would do the same.

The plan was to help K-12 students from low-income communities through virtual tutoring and mentorship. As the group chat grew, the idea excited a lot of people who were eager to volunteer their time and expertise.

“We all just wanted to turn this into an opportunity for the students to thrive and continue pursuing what they’re passionate about at home,” Velez says.

Wong made a Facebook page for CoveEducation on March 16, around the same time a group from MIT, including undergraduates Velez, Dheekshita Kumar, and Sarah Dohadwala, along with current PhD candidate Tam Nguyen SM ’19, had reached out separately offering to help pull together resources and develop the platform to match mentors and students. The MIT group, Wong, and Zoya Surani, an undergraduate at Harvard, make up CovEd’s management team, though the team stresses CovEd has always been a highly collaborative effort involving many volunteers.

The group received guidance through MIT Sandbox, MIT’s Office of the General Counsel, and the Boston University Law Clinic as they built out the organization. The structure of CovEd sprung up organically as new tasks presented themselves. Groups formed to handle things like outreach to superintendents, compiling resources for mentors and parents, and developing the soon-to-be-released web app.

“It’s very structured; we have this core group of nine people or so that decides the direction and the big tasks, and then each person in the group has a subgroup,” Dohadwala explains. “So we decide what we’re going to do at a high level, then go to our subgroup and say, ‘Here’s our slice of this task and how we’re going to do it.’”

As the team reached out to potential partners, they confirmed their concerns about some students getting left behind. They heard from parents who didn’t feel equipped to teach their children for a number of reasons, from their unfamiliarity with certain subjects to their difficulty with English. School districts also shared their struggles working with limited resources and time.

CovEd’s first mentoring sessions were held on March 30.

An instructional, social network

When mentors and students sign up on CovEd, they take a quick survey that asks about their interests, hobbies, and favorite subjects in school. Students can also say what they want to be when they grow up, and CovEd has been able to match those students with mentors studying in similar fields.

“I wish I had this resource as a child, because when you come to college your knowledge of what is possible expands,” Kumar says. “For me, I thought the only professions I could be were teacher, doctor, engineer, these generic terms, but there’s so much diversity in all of those things. … It can be an invaluable experience, getting to know someone who is doing something you’re interested in. They have a different lens of the profession to share.”

Most sessions are held on the video conferencing platform Zoom, which has a number of useful tools for education, including a “whiteboard” that users can share and collaborate on in real-time.

Parents are always present for the sessions, which are held about once a week, although students and mentors often work out meeting scheduling and frequency on their own.

“We’re trying to make it as flexible as possible, because we know everyone has different needs, and some students might want more lax academic support than others,” says Velez.

Many of the mentors have experience working in the education system or tutoring, which has allowed CovEd to pair students with special needs with mentors who have worked with those types of students in the past.

The project has led to an unexpected whirlwind of work for the management team, but it has also brought some notable benefits.

“I think one of the things a lot of students were sad about when we moved to virtual everything was that we wouldn’t make new friends or meet new people,” Kumar says. “I didn’t know any people [on the management team] before this, and I didn’t know a single person in my subgroup, so one of the other things that’s been really lovely is meeting other people who also care about these issues.”

The biggest payoff for the team, though, has come from getting positive feedback from students, parents, and mentors. To date, CovEd has paired 600 students with mentors, and stories have already begun to regularly brighten their day.

In one early matching session, the team was able to connect a student and mentor who both use the same hearing aid. In another case, a student said she wanted to be an FBI agent when she grew up, so the team was able to connect her to a mentor majoring in criminal justice.

Of course, mentors also connect with their students through smaller similarities. Other important questions on CovEd’s sign up form include “If you could have any superpower, which one would you choose?” and “Does pineapple belong on pizza?”

“We’re just looking forward to moments like that, where we find the student and mentor bond beyond the classroom,” Velez says.



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US Chamber Organizes Social Media Blitz To Get Congress To Replenish Small Business Stimulus Funds

small businesses

Rick Wade, Vice President, Strategic Alliances and Outreach for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, said the organization is rallying the business community  to use its collective clout to press Congress to approve emergency funding for programs designed to rescue legions of small businesses ravaged by the COVID-19 economy. In fact, Wade says they will engage in a “morning blitz” via social media  today urging congressional leaders to take immediate action to replenish stimulus funds.

In a release from the US Chamber, Wade stated: “Today, we learned that the Paycheck Protection Program — a critical lifeline for small businesses across the country — has reached its statutory limit. Meanwhile, the SBA’s Economic Injury Disaster Loans expanded by the CARES [Corronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security] Act are running on empty. Congress has yet to replenish the funds for either program. As our Executive Vice President Neil Bradley wrote in a letter to lawmakers today: ‘There is absolutely no excuse for failing to get these funds approved immediately.’ “

As a means of lobbying “to refuel these vital programs,”  Wade said the US Chamber’s recently-instituted Save Small Business Initiative has organized #SaveSmallBusiness Day of Action.

In his role, Wade, a top Commerce Department official during the Obama Administration, has placed a special emphasis on the US Chamber forging partnerships and developing programs with organizations such as the National Minority Supplier Development Council (NMSDC), US Black Chamber and National Business League, among other outfits, as a means of spurring minority business growth. Due to the COVID-19 virus outbreak and government lockdown orders in states throughout the nation, black-owned businesses have been among the hardest hit.

To effectively engage in the lobbying effort, Wade says it has made available the #SaveSmallBusiness Digital Toolkit, complete with suggested assets that  US Chamber members, entrepreneurs and small business advocates can use on their social media channels. The toolkit also provides “content calling for more emergency funding as well as more universal small business support messaging.”

He says morning blitz of social posts between 9 AM and 1 PM.

 



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Major League Baseball Employees and Players to Take Part in COVID-19 Antibody Test

major league baseball

No one knows how long this coronavirus pandemic will last and the lasting effects it will have on us. With this mindset, according to USA Today, there will be a national study involving Major League Baseball to determine how and why COVID-19 infected so many and spread so rapidly.

Major League Baseball with its players, team employees, and family members who are in direct contact have become the largest industry to participate in a nationwide study. The research will test about 10,000 people for coronavirus antibodies, allowing medical and scientific researchers to understand how widespread COVID-19 is across the United States.

“We went to them, asked if they were interested in partnering,’’ Dr. Daniel Eichner, president of the Sports Medicine Research & Testing Laboratory in Salt Lake City, told USA TODAY Sports this week, “and they were happy to help contribute to public health policy. It couldn’t have worked any more favorable. Everybody was motivated to assist as quickly as they could.

“I think it will be enormously useful for public health to understand how extensive the infection is around the country. We need a study like this.’’

The Sports Medicine Research and Testing Laboratory (SMRTL) is conducting this COVID-19 epidemiological study in conjunction with Stanford University and the University of Southern California. The mass testing is called the COVID-19 Sero Prevalence Study.

Why Major League Baseball as opposed to other professional sports or organizations? The MLB’s employee and player population is more diverse in terms of age and geographies than other professional American sports, making it a more representative sample of the U.S. 

“This will be the first time we’ll be able to see how prevalent COVID-19 has spread throughout the United States,’’ said Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, professor of medicine at Stanford. “This will help us understand how far along we are in battling this virus.

“This is a scientific study that would normally take years to set up, and it’s going to be a matter of weeks.’’



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Africans in China: We face coronavirus discrimination

The Guangzhou authorities deny their actions have been racist, but admit that all African nationals have been tested.

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Unemployment Claims Reaches 5.2 Million in America and Hits Small Businesses Hard

unemployment

The COVID-19 health crisis has led to a financial crisis. As a result, 5.2 million Americans have filed for unemployment between April 5 and April 11, according to the Department of Labor. Due to the high volume of claims, individuals and small businesses are facing challenges when trying to access government funds to support their livelihood and businesses.

In a recent report, The New York Times Outlined the impact the demand is hitting small businesses hard.

From The New York Times:

The Small Business Administration has run out of money for its Paycheck Protection Program, officials said on Thursday, leaving millions of businesses unable to apply for emergency loans while Congress struggles to reach a deal to replenish the funds.

 

Congress initially allocated $349 billion for the program, which was intended to provide loans to businesses with 500 or fewer employees. The money has gone quickly, with more than 1.4 million loans already approved as of Wednesday evening, as small businesses struggle with virus-induced quarantines and closings.

 

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is expected to resume negotiations with lawmakers about adding another $250 billion to the fund on Thursday.

It is the fear of many leaders that the organization and others that provide economic relief that they will run out of money.

The Times spoke with a number of business owners and one of them shared that this series of unfortunate events is non-stop. “There’s a whole domino effect to this thing, and I’m one of the dominoes,” he said. “This morning, I read that the money’s gone and I’m like, ‘Heck, I didn’t even get a shot at this.’”

And he is spot on.

With the number of unemployed Americans, people are experiencing new financial realities. One of them is having a negative bank account balance which is causing difficulties receiving funds from the stimulus plan.

One of those challenges being is that when money is deposited into accounts with negative balances, banks are legally allowed to take what is needed to zero the balance.

And while no one can predict the ultimate outcome of this natural disaster, economists strongly believe that those living in poverty will be hit the hardest.

Read the full story here.

To stay in the loop on the latest on how COVID-19 is impacting the community, click here.



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Head Lice Drug Emerges as Potential Coronavirus Treatment

head lice drug

In an effort to treat people who have the coronavirus, another drug on the market is getting recognition for its possible benefits fighting COVID-19. According to ABC News, ivermectin, a head lice drug, may be a potential treatment for the coronavirus.

Although some researchers don’t want to call it a breakthrough, it seems promising in the fight against the deadly virus. Ivermectin is an antiparasitic drug and is sometimes used to treat head lice. Research into the drug’s viability in treating COVID-19 is still in its early stages but with the emergence of two studies showing promising results, experts are hopeful that there is a chance that it could help.

“Finding a safe, affordable, readily available therapy like ivermectin if it proves effective with rigorous evaluation has the potential to save countless lives,” said Dr. Nirav Shah, an infectious disease expert with the NorthShore University HealthSystem.

Although ivermectin is known for its topical use in treating head lice, the drug dates back to the 1970s and 1980s, first as a veterinary treatment for nematodes in cattle and later as a way to combat river blindness in humans.

“We found that even a single dose could essentially remove all viral RNA by 48 hours and that even at 24 hours there was a really significant reduction in it,” said Dr. Kylie Wagstaff, the leader of the team from Melbourne’s Monash Biomedicine Discovery Institute. 

The coronavirus is not a parasite, but the experts are suggesting that the drug basically treats it like one as it blocks the viral RNA from invading healthy cells. If the virus is unable to enter the cell, the RNA is slowed from replicating, giving the patient’s immune system more time to fight it off.

“There are numerous examples of drugs with in vitro activity not proving effective in human studies,” said Shah. “That being said, given there are no proven therapies against COVID-19 to date and we are in the midst of a pandemic, drugs that show promise in early in vitro or observational studies such as ivermectin should be rigorously evaluated to understand safety and effectiveness.”



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Africa's week in pictures: 10-16 April 2020

A selection of the best photos from across the continent this week.

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Coronavirus kills 'brilliant' doctor in Nigeria

Emeka Chugbo contracted the virus while managing an infected patient at his private clinic.

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Moto G Stylus and Moto G Power Review: Good Budget Phones

Motorola's newest budget Android phones offer three-day battery life at a good price. But considering the competition, that might not be enough.

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The Complete History And Future of Robots

Here's the WIRED guide to catch you up on everything you should know about robotics.

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Meet 4 Black Scientists Fighting COVID-19

Dr. Kizzmekia S. Corbett

The spread of COVID-19 across the U.S. has had a huge effect on black communities. Many cities, including Chicago and Milwaukee, have seen African Americans represent the majority of their new cases. However, there are a number of scientists and researchers working non-stop to find a treatment to stop the spread of the novel coronavirus.

Here are some of the black scientists working to find a vaccine for COVID-19.

Dr. Kizzmekia Corbett

Dr. Kizzmekia Corbett is a viral immunologist at the National Institutes of Health. She is leading the effort to develop an mRNA vaccine for COVID-19, which has moved into Phase 1 at record speed. She recently confirmed to CNN’s Anderson Cooper that projections are at eight months for a vaccine being made available to the general population.

Dr. Tomeka Suber

Dr. Tomeka Suber is a pulmonologist and an expert in acute respiratory distress syndrome.

Dr. Christopher Barnes

Dr. Christopher Barnes is an HHMI Hanna Grays Fellow at California Institute of Technology. His work is helping find a cure by crystallizing antibodies to fight against COVID-19 to help identify more effective treatments and a possible vaccine.

Dr. Michael Johnson

Dr. Michael Johnson is a professor at the University of Arizona investigating if copper could be used to alter the binding of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Research is still in the early stages. The scientists hope that copper, in conjunction with other treatments, will deliver a solid one-two punch to COVID-19.



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Entrepreneur Mary Seats Built Her Business with $300. Now She’s Making Millions

Mary Seats

Mary ‘Mz Skittlez’ Seats, affectionately known by millennials as the “Kris Jenner of marketing,” has been building her brand and countless others for years. In 2011, Seats launched her first company, Cupcake Mafia, in Atlanta with $300 to her name and now she says she is making millions. And she is helping others to do the same.

Seats comes from a family of serial entrepreneurs. Her father and grandfather were both businessmen and, as an only child, Seats got the entrepreneurial spirit and began designing clothes for dolls, which she showed off and sold to others. After graduating from college, Seats worked as an assistant stylist on an international tour and her father encouraged her to take a leap of faith and create her own clothing brand.

“All I had was literally $300, a dream, and my relationships,” said Seats. And that was enough to launch The Cupcake Mafia. Support from celebrities who she connected with on the road helped to catapult her brand and it became more visible.

“One day, my site started going crazy with orders after Tiny [Harris] wore the brand on TV. That is when I decided that I was fully committed to being an entrepreneur,” Seats recalls.

Leveraging her relationships and the influence of others resulted in monumental success in sales and landed Seats the opportunity to collaborate with clothing brand Forever 21, which generated over a million dollars.

The Ebbs and Flows of Business

Seats’ success up until that point appeared to be unquantifiable until she was met with her first business challenge.

“That deal led me to partner with an investment firm. And I had no idea that I would be fired six months later from my own brand — which, by the way, took me from a penthouse overlooking Central Park to sleeping on an airbed in a unit above my store in Atlanta.”

In business, as in life, you live and you learn.

“What I didn’t realize is that God had a different plan for me. That story is pretty lengthy, but to sum it up, I signed a bad deal. I went back to fight them, and I won! I paid $60,000 for my brand back. And after I received the rights to the trademark, I went in full ‘go-mode’—even from my airbed,” said seats.

“The airbed stage of my life—which seemed to be the lowest point of my life—is when I got closer to God. He brought me to what is now the highest and happiest point of my life.”

Leveling Up

Mary Seats

(Image: Mart Seats)

Once Seats recovered from that experience, she founded The Icing Agency, a branding and marketing firm, and Gurl Mobb. “After losing my first company to investors and buying it back, I realized to never to put my eggs in one basket,” said Seats. She later opened three retail stores, purchased a factory in China, and took on entrepreneur and influencer B. Simone as a client. She also wrote a book and began creating digital guides, resources, and marketing webinars, which are often sold out within hours.

Most recently, Seats sold hundreds of spots for a digital conference in less than 48 hours where she and a panel of experts equipped women with the information they need to blossom as entrepreneurs.

As Seats continues to grow her businesses, she is adamant about helping other women achieve success as well. With an organic following of over 149,000 followers on her personal Instagram account, women flock to the entrepreneur because of her authentic nature and wealth of knowledge.

“When I was on that airbed, I told God ‘If you get me back up, I will never look down. The only time I will look down is to pull someone up.’ And it’s been that way ever since,” said Seats.

And when it comes to seats at the table, Seats firmly believes, “If I cannot bring anything to the table, I will not sit down!”

When Seats isn’t creating, working on her business, or with clients, she is encouraging women entrepreneurs to bloom where they are planted. To others, Seats offers this advice, “You can be a mom, a wife, or whatever it is you want to be. I used to want to find a poster woman for the ideal mom, wife, and unstoppable girl boss – and I honestly I couldn’t find it. So, I became it.”

To learn more about Seats and the services that she offers women entrepreneurs, click here.

 

 



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Meat Shortage Could Be On The Horizon Due To Plants Shutting Down

Pork

Workers at meat processing plants across the country are falling ill due to the coronavirus, meaning shortages and potentially increased prices may follow.

According to MSN News, plants that process meat are being shut down and the worry is that consumers will be impacted by shortages and higher prices. Some suppliers have already started limiting quantities of pork and beef.

“At this time, there is more problem with supply and not price,” Tom Violante, co-owner of Holiday Market in metro Detroit told MSN. “When the supply chain runs through its current load of beef and pork the supply will be limited and the price increase will follow.”

Smithfield Foods announced the closure of one of its pork processing facilities in South Dakota. More than 200 employees at the plant have been infected with the coronavirus.

Other major food processors, such as Tyson Foods and JBS USA, also have closed meat processing plants because of the coronavirus. Smithfield CEO Kenneth Sullivan warned that shuttering plants is pushing the country’s meat supply “perilously close” to the edge.

Smithfield’s plant represents about 5% of the pork processed in the U.S., supplying 130 million servings of food per week.

“It is impossible to keep our grocery stores stocked if our plants are not running,” Sullivan said. “These facility closures will also have severe, perhaps disastrous, repercussions for many in the supply chain, first and foremost our nation’s livestock farmers. These farmers have nowhere to send their animals.”

Smithfield said it will rely on “further direction of local, state and federal officials” when considering when to reopen. The company also said its employees will be paid for the next two weeks.

Tom Super, a spokesman for the National Chicken Council, said production and processing of poultry will continue and worker safety measures are in place. Store shelves will be restocked, he said, it’s just taking a little longer than normal.

“The companies are working to divert some of the product from the freezers and product that was intended for restaurants, but that takes time and there are some challenges with that in terms of repackaging, labeling, and logistics.”

Christine McCracken, senior protein analyst for Rabobank, did have some good news, saying the Smithfield’s plant closing will have little impact on the price of pork.

“We shouldn’t see a dramatic impact or any increases in price on store shelves,” McCracken said. “But there could be some disruptions on certain products.”

Additionally, due to the cancelation of several spring sporting events including the NCAA basketball tournament, there is now a national surplus of chicken wings. Food franchises are also being hit hard during the outbreak.



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Movie Theater Chains Reckon With an Uncertain Future

Cinemark is trying to plan for a July reopening, and AMC Theatres could be facing bankruptcy as the pandemic keeps audiences away.

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Africa's Huge Locust Swarms Are Growing at the Worst Time

As coronavirus takes hold and farmers plant crops, the continent faces a new wave of locusts 20 times larger than one earlier this year.

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State Alliances Are Leading the US Fight Against Covid-19

The Western States Pact and a council of northeastern states have formed public health coalitions while the federal government does … whatever it’s doing.

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Best Car Emergency Kit Gear: 9 Roadside Essentials for Your Trunk

From reflective warning triangles to engine oil, here's everything you need to avoid being stranded on the road.

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In 'Notes From an Apocalypse,' Catastrophe Meets Optimism

Mark O’Connell never imagined his book, *Notes From an Apocalypse*, would come out amid global catastrophe. But his optimism is more relevant than ever.

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Hackers Made the Snoo Smart Bassinet Shake and Play Loud Sounds

The now-patched flaws found in the popular internet-connected baby bed underscore the importance of getting security right.

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Coronavirus romance: Kenyan couple forced to postpone wedding

Esther and Michael want to kick coronavirus out of Kenya so they can finally tie the knot.

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How a Pudgy Porpoise May Save Other Animals From Extinction

The vaquita, an icon of the Gulf of California, is swiftly dying out. But its strange DNA could hold valuable lessons for other threatened species.

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Wednesday, April 15, 2020

Coronavirus: G20 delays poor nations' debt payments

The aim is to help them deal with the pandemic, but campaigners say more assistance is needed.

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Model quantifies the impact of quarantine measures on Covid-19’s spread

The research described in this article has been published on a preprint server but has not yet been peer-reviewed by scientific or medical experts.

Every day for the past few weeks, charts and graphs plotting the projected apex of Covid-19 infections have been splashed across newspapers and cable news. Many of these models have been built using data from studies on previous outbreaks like SARS or MERS. Now, a team of engineers at MIT has developed a model that uses data from the Covid-19 pandemic in conjunction with a neural network to determine the efficacy of quarantine measures and better predict the spread of the virus.

“Our model is the first which uses data from the coronavirus itself and integrates two fields: machine learning and standard epidemiology,” explains Raj Dandekar, a PhD candidate studying civil and environmental engineering. Together with George Barbastathis, professor of mechanical engineering, Dandekar has spent the past few months developing the model as part of the final project in class 2.168 (Learning Machines).

Most models used to predict the spread of a disease follow what is known as the SEIR model, which groups people into “susceptible,” “exposed,” “infected,” and “recovered.” Dandekar and Barbastathis enhanced the SEIR model by training a neural network to capture the number of infected individuals who are under quarantine, and therefore no longer spreading the infection to others.

The model finds that in places like South Korea, where there was immediate government intervention in implementing strong quarantine measures, the virus spread plateaued more quickly. In places that were slower to implement government interventions, like Italy and the United States, the “effective reproduction number” of Covid-19 remains greater than one, meaning the virus has continued to spread exponentially.

The machine learning algorithm shows that with the current quarantine measures in place, the plateau for both Italy and the United States will arrive somewhere between April 15-20. This prediction is similar to other projections like that of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation.

“Our model shows that quarantine restrictions are successful in getting the effective reproduction number from larger than one to smaller than one,” says Barbastathis. “That corresponds to the point where we can flatten the curve and start seeing fewer infections.”

Quantifying the impact of quarantine

In early February, as news of the virus’ troubling infection rate started dominating headlines, Barbastathis proposed a project to students in class 2.168. At the end of each semester, students in the class are tasked with developing a physical model for a problem in the real world and developing a machine learning algorithm to address it. He proposed that a team of students work on mapping the spread of what was then simply known as “the coronavirus.”

“Students jumped at the opportunity to work on the coronavirus, immediately wanting to tackle a topical problem in typical MIT fashion,” adds Barbastathis.

One of those students was Dandekar. “The project really interested me because I got to apply this new field of scientific machine learning to a very pressing problem,” he says.

As Covid-19 started to spread across the globe, the scope of the project expanded. What had originally started as a project looking just at spread within Wuhan, China grew to also include the spread in Italy, South Korea, and the United States.

The duo started modeling the spread of the virus in each of these four regions after the 500th case was recorded. That milestone marked a clear delineation in how different governments implemented quarantine orders.

Armed with precise data from each of these countries, the research team took the standard SEIR model and augmented it with a neural network that learns how infected individuals under quarantine impact the rate of infection. They trained the neural network through 500 iterations so it could then teach itself how to predict patterns in the infection spread.

Using this model, the research team was able to draw a direct correlation between quarantine measures and a reduction in the effective reproduction number of the virus.

“The neural network is learning what we are calling the ‘quarantine control strength function,’” explains Dandekar. In South Korea, where strong measures were implemented quickly, the quarantine control strength function has been effective in reducing the number of new infections. In the United States, where quarantine measures have been slowly rolled out since mid-March, it has been more difficult to stop the spread of the virus.

Predicting the “plateau”

As the number of cases in a particular country decreases, the forecasting model transitions from an exponential regime to a linear one. Italy began entering this linear regime in early April, with the U.S. not far behind it.

The machine learning algorithm Dandekar and Barbastathis have developed predicted that the United States will start to shift from an exponential regime to a linear regime in the first week of April, with a stagnation in the infected case count likely between April 15 and April 20. It also suggests that the infection count will reach 600,000 in the United States before the rate of infection starts to stagnate.

“This is a really crucial moment of time. If we relax quarantine measures, it could lead to disaster,” says Barbastathis.

According to Barbastathis, one only has to look to Singapore to see the dangers that could stem from relaxing quarantine measures too quickly. While the team didn’t study Singapore’s Covid-19 cases in their research, the second wave of infection this country is currently experiencing reflects their model’s finding about the correlation between quarantine measures and infection rate.

“If the U.S. were to follow the same policy of relaxing quarantine measures too soon, we have predicted that the consequences would be far more catastrophic,” Barbastathis adds.

The team plans to share the model with other researchers in the hopes that it can help inform Covid-19 quarantine strategies that can successfully slow the rate of infection.



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Coronavirus in Africa: 'No time for half measures in helping the economy'

Many African economies can been growing before the coronavirus hit - no longer.

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Cowboys’ Dak Prescott denies hosting 30 people during house party

Last week, there was a report Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott violated stay-at-home guidelines by throwing a party at his home. Now a frustrated Prescott has issued a statement clarifying what took place at the gathering.

According to ESPN, after it was reported approximately 30 people were gathered at the quarterback’s house in Prosper, Texas, on Friday, Cowboys executive vice president Stephen Jones said the organization spoke to Prescott and Cowboy’s running back Ezekiel Elliott about their involvement.

READ MORE: NFL Star Malcolm Jenkins warns Black community not to depend on government for COVID-19 help

Prescott and Elliott came under scrutiny after posting videos on social media working out with former teammate Dez Bryant.

Two weeks before the latest incident, Prescott was shown arm-in-arm in a picture with Bryant and other players following a workout, leading to a growing perception that the athletes weren’t following social distancing mandates.

“I think they’re certainly aware now of how sensitive these situations are,” Jones said Tuesday to Dallas station 105.3. “I don’t think you’ll be seeing that anymore. They’re certainly guys we have the utmost respect for, and I certainly know they understand the sensitivity of the situation we’re in today. It’s certainly very serious and something that we know and certainly know they understand.”

READ MORE:

But later that same day, Prescott claimed there were less than 10 people at the party.

“I understand and accept that there are additional responsibilities and media scrutiny that come with being an NFL quarterback, but it is very frustrating and disappointing when people provide completely inaccurate information from anonymous sources, especially now,” read the statement.

“To set the record straight — I know that we all need to do our best to socially distance and like everyone else, I am continuing to adjust to what that requires, but the truth is that I was with fewer than 10 people for a home dinner — not a party — on Friday night.

“I am very sensitive to the challenges we are all facing and making sure to support the first responders and medical personnel and everyone else putting in long hours. We are all at a time when we need to keep educating ourselves about the importance of health and isolation during this pandemic and I will continue to make sure to do my part by following the guidelines until we are approved to start returning to normal activities.”

READ MORE: Former NFL quarterback Tarvaris Jackson dies in car crash at 36

 

 

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Dyjuan Tatro of ‘College Behind Bars’ talks education reform for prisons

More often than not, incarcerated persons are viewed negatively in society. Ken Burns and Lynn Novick‘s documentary, College Behind Bars, is striving to change that narrative.

“Inside the walls of a classroom, you escape the walls of a cell — and you become an individual again,” says Shawnta Montgomery, speaking at the 16th commencement of the Bard Prison Initiative (BPI), in the documentary.

READ MORE: Incarcerated, claiming mistreatment, rampage through offices and set fires at Kansas prison

College Behind Bars first premiered Nov. 25, 2019 on PBS and has since then become popular among Netflix audiences. The four-part series follows the journey of men and women incarcerated in maximum and medium-security prisons across New York state over the span of four years.

Photo: Netflix

The documentary shadows them as they pursue college-accredited degrees through BPI, one of the most challenging prison education programs in the nation.

To further discuss College Behind Bars and the advocacy for college access in all prisons, theGrio spoke with Dyjuan Tatro, a formerly incarcerated student of BPI who appears in the documentary. Tatro completed his incarceration in 2017.

READ MORE: Black man, denied early release, becomes first federal inmate to die of coronavirus

Dyjuan Tatro Colle Behind Bars
Dyjuan Tatro, 31, has served 11 years incarcerated. Photo courtesy of Florentine Films.

“One thing I am grateful for about College Behind Bars is that it complicates the narrative we see around incarcerated and formerly incarcerated people like myself,” Tatro tells theGrio. 

“The filmmakers decided to introduce you to the subjects as people before you found out what they were incarcerated for. The film brings people to acknowledge the humanity of others. We view someone who went to prison for something and we say that’s who they are.”

Before incarceration, Tatro says going to college was not a part of his solid plans for the future.

“I look back, and now realize that I had this vague sense that college was something that I should have been striving for. I had no real expectations that it was something that I would actually ever do,” Tatro says.

READ MORE: Jay Z and Yo Gotti file second lawsuit against Mississippi prisons

“I vividly remember sitting in Five Points Correctional Facility and seeing a 60-minute segment on the Bard Prison Initiative come on, and there were these amazingly-smart men who were in prison just like me, wearing green like me, embarked on this rigorous educational endeavor. At that moment I decided, that was what I was going to do.”

Founded in 1999, BPI is now present in six New York State prisons. Prospective students undergo a meticulous admissions process and then enroll full-time in the same classes that they would take on Bard College’s main campus.

BPI students receive the exact education from college professors in seminar settings and are still held to the same academic expectations as Bard students outside of prison. BPI students can pursue associate and bachelor’s degrees.

College Behind Bars was filmed in real-time as students carried out their prison terms.

College behind bars
Students of the Bard Prison initiative filming for College Behind Bars. Photo courtesy of Florentine Films

“There was a lot of uncertainty and pressure going into Bard. Getting into BPI is a competitive process and you don’t know what to expect,” Tatro reveals.

“I found the course material to be really challenging, and that was intimidating but I was never scared to walk into that classroom because for the first time in my life I was learning what a professor was. But it built my intellectual capacity to a level where I could keep meeting the Bard standards.”

Tatro touched on what life was like being a student while incarcerated, amongst the rest of the prison population.

“There’s a popular joke that people, like myself, who received an education in prison had all of the time in the world and that’s why it was easy for us. The reality is its the total opposite,” he explains. “Prison is not conducive to receiving an education. Everything about prison impedes your education.

Photo: Netflix

“My professors assigned me 43 books for example, and I’m only allowed to have 35 books in my cell at one time. It’s those kinds of practical tensions in getting an education that you have to grapple with, on a day to day basis,” Tatro says.

“You’re on a noisy cell block and you can’t tell everyone to be quiet or shut up, you can be in class and at any given moment sent back to your cell because of a shutdown and your professor can’t be let back in. One thing I had to do was find it in myself to focus in such a way that despite what was happening, I still received a rigorous education.”

BPI offers a string of electives for students to participate in such as the debate team, which Tatro was a part of. Since 2013, the BPI Debate Union has met weekly with the college faculty coach to prepare and practice for intercollegiate debate competitions with colleges and universities including West Point, Harvard, Brown, The University of Vermont, and the historically Black Morehouse College.

READ MORE: Rep. Ayanna Pressley’s husband testified to Congress on prison re-entry reform

“It was such a great moment for us as debaters; as students; as ambassadors of the power of college in prison,” Tatro says. “That win against Harvard was so profound and it went viral. Sitting in prison and seeing the media pick up the story and getting letters and calls from friends, it inspired so many people. It also moved the general public to think differently about who incarcerated people are, and what they are capable of.”

Tatro spoke about the assumptions that his success story, portrayed through the documentary, has made people believe that prison was a positive experience for him.

“Getting an education in prison was less than ideal … I did not go to prison to get an education,” Tatro said. “I would have rathered gone to college without having ever gone to prison. But the reality is if I never went to prison and BPI didn’t exist, I’d probably never have gotten a college education.

“Our country spends $80 billion a year on mass incarceration. That’s enough money to make tuition at all of our public colleges and universities free,” he continued. “There’s an assumption that prison did something for me — no. Bard College did something for me.”

college behind bars
Dyjuan Tatro, 33, Government Affairs and Advancement Officer for BPI. Photo courtesy of Dyjuan Tatro

A 2016 study by the RAND Corporation found that inmates who participated in educational programs like BPI were up to 43% less likely to have recidivism. That same study found that for every dollar invested into correctional education, nearly five dollars is saved in reincarceration costs over three years. Since filming College Behind Bars, Tatro has gone on to become the BPI Government Affairs and Advancement officer, a prison reform advocate, and a political consultant.

Tatro and BPI continue to take strides to make education accessible for more prisons nationwide, although, there are still prominent obstacles in the way of that goal. Funding seems to be the main reason behind slow progress in gaining adequate education in more prisons, according to Tatro. In retrospect, the 1994 Clinton Crime Bill ended inmates’ eligibility for federal Pell grants during the era of “tough on crime” policies. Because of that, many education programs in prisons were stripped overnight.

“For the last 20 years, BPI has been an example of the power of education in prison. We have students who have faced 15-20 years and then gone onto Ph.D. programs at Yale, Columbia, and other Ivy League universities,” Tatro says. What the students have done is lead by example.”

college behind bars
College Behind Bars, Netflix. Photo courtesy of Florentine Films

Beyond the documentary, Tatro is continuing to advocate for Pell Grant funding on the state and national levels, as BPI anticipates launching more “micro-colleges” around New York City within the next five years for the “at-risk.” The documentary itself has sparked conversation nationwide, furthering the support and advocacy of the cause.

“Currently, we are working with Warner Brothers to turn the BPI vs. Harvard debate story into a movie,” Tatro claimed. “We will continue to be out engaging around the film and lobbying on behalf of getting access to college in prison.”

College Behind Bars is available on Netflix now.

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Cyntoia Brown-Long not involved in new Netflix doc on her life

Cyntoia Brown-Long, who was freed from jail last year after serving 15 years of a life sentence for murder, is the subject of a new Netflix documentary.

On Wednesday, the Nashville native made clear she is not involved with the new feature with a statement posted to Instagram.

“While I was still incarcerated, a producer who has old footage of me made a deal with Netflix for an UNAUTHORIZED documentary, set to be released soon. My husband and I were as surprised as everyone else when we first heard the news because we did not participate in any way.

However, I am currently in the process of sharing my story, in the right way, in full detail, and in a way that depicts and respects the woman I am today. While I pray that this film highlights things wrong in our justice system, I had nothing to with this documentary.”

The new documentary, murder to Mercy: The Cyntonia Brown story features footage from one made years ago while Brown-Long was facing a life sentence for murder. That documentary Me Facing Life: The Cyntoia Brown Story was released in 2011.

There are no new interviews in the new Netflix doc from Brown-Long.  There does appear to be new ones with some of the people who were involved in her case.

She was just 16 in 2004 when she was arrested for the murder of real estate agent Johnny Lee Allen, 43. He met her in a fast-food parking lot and paid her to have sex with him.

At the time, Brown-Long was a runaway and living with an older man named Garion L. “Kut-Throat” McGlothen, who’d forced her to earn money through prostitution. She said that she went to Allen’s house in order to earn the money McGlothen expected.

Brown-Long testified that she was unnerved by Allen showing her weapons. Feeling as though she may be detained or killed, she shot him with a .40 caliber gun she’d brought with her for protection. Other testimony in trial records indicated that Brown targeted Allen to rob him.

After the murder, she left with Allen’s truck, two of his guns and $172 in cash.

Cyntoia Brown enters her clemency hearing Wednesday, May 23, 2018, at Tennessee Prison for Women in Nashville, Tenn. (Lacy Atkins /The Tennessean via AP, Pool)

Brown-Long was ultimately tried as an adult, and in 2006 she was found guilty of first-degree murder, felony murder, and aggravated robbery. She was sentenced to life without eligibility for parole for 51 years.

During her trial, a documentary filmmaker Daniel H. Birman became interested in her story and ultimately Me Facing Life: The Cyntoia Brown Story was made and released in 2011.

Through the documentary, Brown-Long’s story became a cause for activists and celebrities who believed she acted in self-defense to save herself from a predator. Rihanna and Kim Kardashian West were among those who advocated for Brown’s release.

In 2019, Tennessee Gov. Bill Haslam commuted Brown’s sentence, impressed by her turnaround in jail where she earned a G.E.D and an associate’s degree and the global campaign to free her from a life sentence.

That same year, Brown-Long released her memoir Free Cyntoia: My Search for Redemption in the American Prison System. She married musician and entrepreneur Jamie Long while still in jail.

 

 

 

 

 

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Kellyanne Conway dragged for blaming slow COVID-19 response on WHO

Kellyanne Conway is known for finding unconventional ways to spin the facts in favor of the Trump administration, but this week, the top White House aide made comments that even some of her own supporters found baffling.

Wednesday, during an appearance on Fox News, Conway implied that COVID-19’s name is derived from the number of already known coronavirus diseases.

READ MORE: Coronavirus front lines: A New York City nurse details life in a pandemic

“This is COVID-19 ― not COVID-1, folks,” Conway informed the hosts of Fox & Friends. “And so you would think the people charged with the World Health Organization would be on top of that.”

It’s common knowledge that But COVID-19 stands for “coronavirus disease 2019” to refer to the date it was identified, and not an indication that there were 18 previous versions of it.

Viewers watched in dismay as the high-ranking adviser to the president, opined, “It is called COVID-19 – not COVID-20 ― yet it took WHO until March to call it a global pandemic.”

After Rep. Bobby Rush (D-Ill.) called on her to “do better” after her remarks, Conway seemingly attempted to save face by responding that she knows the “19 refers to the year.”

She then pivoted the focus by rhetorically asking the congressman, “Which felt better: insulting me or endorsing Bloomberg for president?”

“It’s telling that you perceive the truth as an insult,” Rush tweeted back.

Conway’s comments appear to be part of the administration’s concerted efforts to blame the World Health Organization’s response to the coronavirus pandemic for why America is now the most infected country on the globe.

“The WHO failed in its basic duty and must be held accountable,” President Donald Trump said Tuesday while announcing the U.S. is placing a hold on funding to WHO while his team investigates the group’s potential mismanagement of the crisis. “So much death has been caused by their mistakes.”

READ MORE: World Health Organization head targeted with racism, death threats

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the director-general of WHO, responded to Trump’s decision today with these comments:

 

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Coronavirus: Rwandan radio stars spread hygiene message

Young people from Rwanda are producing radio plays to educate people about the importance of hand-washing.

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